Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 71.19%1.40fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.02%70.97%73.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.3779.37%74.97%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%28.98%29.03%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.83%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 71.19%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 28.81%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%1.3%2026-08-23 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.19%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.81%EV +1.69%E +0.479%K +0.669%G +0.011%1.9%2026-08-23 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%2.1%2026-08-23 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%6.7%2026-08-23 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%6.7%2026-08-23 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV +0.539%E +0.155%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-23 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.251%E +0.072%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.74%E -5.14%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -0.325%E -0.094%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:40
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.613%E -0.178%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:18
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -0.901%E -0.262%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:10
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.48%E -0.432%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 19:49
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -10.30%E -8.17%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:59
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.63%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:10
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:59
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 19:54
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:52
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -6.66%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:04
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 08:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.14%E -3.98%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 19:52
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:08
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-23 20:09
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-08-23 19:39
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-23 20:04
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 03:35
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-08-23 20:09