Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 71.19%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -6.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%71.02%70.97%73.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.261.331.331.3779.37%74.97%75.19%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.81%3.47cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%28.98%29.03%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.83%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 71.19% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 28.81%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.47. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +3.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%1.3%2026-08-23 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +3.71%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%3.5%2026-08-23 19:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +2.27%E +0.639%K +0.889%G +0.020%5.1%2026-08-23 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.19%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.81%EV +1.69%E +0.479%K +0.669%G +0.011%1.9%2026-08-23 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%2.1%2026-08-23 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%6.7%2026-08-23 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +0.828%E +0.236%K +0.331%G +0.003%6.7%2026-08-23 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV +0.539%E +0.155%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-23 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.251%E +0.072%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.74%E -5.14%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -0.325%E -0.094%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:40
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.613%E -0.178%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:18
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%EV -0.901%E -0.262%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:10
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.48%E -0.432%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 19:49
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -10.30%E -8.17%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.05%E -0.604%K -0.856%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:59
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.63%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:10
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:59
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.03%E -4.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.47%E -1.80%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 19:54
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:52
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 20:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -6.66%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.26%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 19:04
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 08:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.70%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.14%E -3.98%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 19:52
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.18%E -2.34%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:08
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -4.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.58%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 20:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-23 20:09
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-08-23 19:39
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-23 20:04
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 03:35
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:59
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-08-23 20:09