默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 02:11 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 67.98%1.47公平赔率
EV -0.750%
优势 -0.513%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
66.43%67.99%67.93%70.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.63%71.43%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 32.02%3.12公平赔率
EV +2.46%
优势 +0.770%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.55%32.01%32.07%33.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.16%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Dodgers (主队):67.98%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):32.02%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.12。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.20,对应+2.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.79%E -1.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.46%E +0.770%K +1.12%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-21 22:34
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-22 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.8%2026-08-21 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-21 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 01:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.63%E -8.94%K -38.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 01:29
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 02:09
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.02%E -0.660%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 01:40
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.750%E -0.513%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 00:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 02:04
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.87%E -5.01%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 22:13
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:24
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 12:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:04
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 12:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 02:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 01:57
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 01:41
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 68.04%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.96%-0.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-08-22 02:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 23:45
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 21:55
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-08-22 02:00