Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-08-22 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 67.98%1.47momio equitativo
EV -0.750%
Ventaja -0.513%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%67.99%67.93%70.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.63%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 32.02%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +0.770%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.55%32.01%32.07%33.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.16%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 67.98%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 32.02%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.12. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.46%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.79%E -1.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.46%E +0.770%K +1.12%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-21 22:34
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-22 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.8%2026-08-21 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-21 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 01:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.63%E -8.94%K -38.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 01:29
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 02:09
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.02%E -0.660%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 01:40
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.750%E -0.513%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 00:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 02:04
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.87%E -5.01%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 22:13
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:24
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 12:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:04
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 12:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 02:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 01:57
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 01:41
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 68.04%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.96%-0.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-08-22 02:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 23:45
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 21:55
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-08-22 02:00