Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 67.98%1.47cote équitable
EV -0.750%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.43%67.99%67.93%70.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.63%71.43%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.02%3.12cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.770%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.55%32.01%32.07%33.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.16%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 67.98% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 32.02%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.12. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.20, soit une espérance positive de +2.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.79%E -1.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.46%E +0.770%K +1.12%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-21 22:34
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-22 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-21 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%5.8%2026-08-21 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.91%E -6.65%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.864%E +0.274%K +0.402%G +0.003%6.4%2026-08-21 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-21 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 02:09
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.23%E -6.09%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 01:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.63%E -8.94%K -38.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -0.737%E -0.238%K -0.351%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 01:29
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 02:09
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.02%E -0.660%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.66%E -0.875%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 01:40
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.750%E -0.513%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 00:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 02:04
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.87%E -5.01%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 22:13
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:24
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.15%E -2.94%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 12:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:04
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 12:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 02:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.51%E -3.96%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 01:57
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.55%E -5.55%K -20.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.47%E -2.44%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.78%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.11%E -1.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 01:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.19%E -4.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 01:41
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.83%E -3.45%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 68.04%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.96%-0.0%2026-08-22 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-08-22 02:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 23:45
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-21 21:55
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-22 02:10
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-08-22 02:10
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-08-22 02:00