Language:English
Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Prediction 70.99%1.41fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%71.11%70.92%72.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.40%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 29.01%3.45fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.33%28.89%29.08%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5933.33%30.24%30.26%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.99%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 29.01%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.67%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.33%EV +4.14%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.066% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +1.53%E +0.437%K +0.611%G +0.009% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.078%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.078%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -0.792%E -0.232%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-10 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 01:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -2.53%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.11%E -0.932%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 01:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.13%E -7.13%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 01:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -6.59%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.00%E -5.34%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 01:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 02:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.611%E -0.437%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.611%E -0.437%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 01:55 |