Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-08-11 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 6–5 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 70.99%1.41odd justa
EV -0.611%
Vantagem -0.437%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%71.11%70.92%72.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.40%74.63%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 29.01%3.45odd justa
EV +4.14%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.066%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.89%29.08%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.313.303.5933.33%30.24%30.26%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.99%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 29.01%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.45. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.59, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.67%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.33%EV +4.14%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.066%1.9%2026-08-10 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +1.53%E +0.437%K +0.611%G +0.009%1.0%2026-08-11 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.078%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.078%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 23:49
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -0.792%E -0.232%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 15:15
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 01:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:43
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:14
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 02:05
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:49
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:49
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:50
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -2.53%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 21:09
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.82%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.11%E -0.932%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-11 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-11 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 20:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 02:04
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 02:04
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 01:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 01:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -9.13%E -7.13%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 01:15
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -6.59%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-11 01:54
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 02:04
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 01:50
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.00%E -5.34%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 01:43
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 02:04
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 02:03
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.611%E -0.437%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:49
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.611%E -0.437%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-08-11 01:40
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-11 02:00
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-10 17:45
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-10 14:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-11 02:00
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-11 02:00
BetOpenly◎1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-08-11 01:55