The School of Odds
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–9 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.91%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%55.44%55.28%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8560.61%57.90%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -0.521%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.56%44.72%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.142.152.2351.28%46.79%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 55.39%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 44.61%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.47%E +1.34%K +2.91%G +0.072%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -13.01%E -6.67%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:24
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.297%E -0.165%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 22:50
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.40%E -0.789%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-31 20:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 00:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.968%E -0.436%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 00:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.521%E -0.234%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 01:15
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 01:15
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 02:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 01:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:25
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 02:10
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:53
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 01:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.98%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 20:40
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:55
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:19
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 23:44
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:50
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:54
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:24
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:24
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 01:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:39
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:45
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:09
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:50
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:49
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:50
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 01:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.21%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 02:10
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 01:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 02:03
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.11%E -3.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 01:41
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -7.66%E -3.70%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 01:54
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.61%E -5.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-08-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 22:25
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-01 02:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 02:10
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-08-01 02:04
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-01 02:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-01 02:05