Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-01 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–9 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 55.39%1.81odd justa
EV +2.47%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +2.91%
Crescimento +0.072%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%55.44%55.28%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.8560.61%57.90%57.80%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 44.61%2.24odd justa
EV -0.521%
Vantagem -0.234%
Kelly -0.424%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.56%44.72%48.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.142.152.2351.28%46.79%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 55.39%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 44.61%. Para Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.47%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.47%E +1.34%K +2.91%G +0.072%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -13.01%E -6.67%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:24
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.297%E -0.165%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 22:50
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.40%E -0.789%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-31 20:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 00:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.968%E -0.436%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 00:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.521%E -0.234%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 01:15
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 01:15
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 02:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 01:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:25
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 02:10
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.41%E -0.640%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:53
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 01:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 01:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.98%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 20:40
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:55
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:19
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 23:44
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:50
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:54
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:24
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:24
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 01:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:39
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:45
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 00:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:09
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:50
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:49
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:50
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 01:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 01:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.21%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 02:10
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 01:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 02:03
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.11%E -3.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 01:41
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -7.66%E -3.70%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 01:54
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.61%E -5.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.86%E -0.845%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-08-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 02:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 22:25
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-01 02:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 02:10
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-08-01 02:04
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-01 02:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-01 02:05