Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-02 01:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.05%60.28%60.45%61.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.14%63.49%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%39.72%39.55%40.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5345.45%41.60%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 60.39%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 39.61%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.53, producing a positive expected value of +0.210%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.210%E +0.083%K +0.137%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 17:59
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.122%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.122%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.978%E -0.391%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.77%E -0.714%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 18:34
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.56%E -0.958%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.56%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 18:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:14
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:14
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:53
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.15%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:44
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.15%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:45
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:34
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:34
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 17:25
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.52%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 18:38
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.56%E -0.958%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 17:29
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:34
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.37%E -2.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.86%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-31 18:50
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-07-31 19:25
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-31 19:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%10.0%2026-07-31 18:39