Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 01:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 62.33%1.60fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.10%62.47%63.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.40%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 37.67%2.65fair odd
EV -0.177%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.90%37.53%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.55%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 62.33%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 37.67%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.655. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.650, with an expected value of -0.177%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.52%E -0.960%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.52%E -0.960%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.177%E -0.067%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-01 23:49
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.554%E -0.210%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:54
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 00:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.19%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:45
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:58
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 01:03
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -0.931%E -0.354%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:08
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:04
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:05
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:54
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.07%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:50
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:30
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 01:09
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.19%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:04
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 01:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:04
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 23:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.13%E -4.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-02 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-02 01:10
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-02 01:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-02 01:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-08-02 01:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.7%2026-08-02 01:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-08-02 01:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-08-02 01:05

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