Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-08-02 01:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 62.33%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.960%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%62.10%62.47%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.40%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.177%
Ventaja -0.067%
Kelly -0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%37.90%37.53%40.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.55%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 62.33%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 37.67%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.655. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.650, con un valor esperado de -0.177%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.52%E -0.960%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.52%E -0.960%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.177%E -0.067%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-01 23:49
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.554%E -0.210%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 00:54
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 00:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.19%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:45
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 00:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:58
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 01:03
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -0.931%E -0.354%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:08
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:04
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:05
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:54
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.07%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:50
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:30
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 01:09
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.19%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:04
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.31%E -0.499%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.06%E -0.793%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:05
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 01:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:04
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 23:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.13%E -4.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-02 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-02 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-02 01:10
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-02 01:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-02 01:10
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-08-02 01:10
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.7%2026-08-02 01:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-08-02 01:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-08-02 01:05