Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 64.76%1.54fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.99%64.71%64.69%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5271.43%67.98%67.80%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 35.24%2.84fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.29%35.31%37.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.722.712.8038.91%36.80%36.83%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.39%E -0.861%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 01:58
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 02:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 01:34
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 02:05
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.43%E -3.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.43%E -3.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:37
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.44%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 01:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:24
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 22:32
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 20:50
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:34
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 02:09
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 02:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -5.56%E -2.07%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 02:09
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 02:04
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:29
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 02:09
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 02:04
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 01:29
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.50%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 20:49
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:04
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:04
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.56%E -2.07%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 01:54
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:09
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:04
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 23:44
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 01:43
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.34%E -6.67%K -23.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-07-11 01:50
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-10 21:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-10 20:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-11 02:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-07-11 02:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-07-11 02:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-07-11 02:10
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-07-11 02:09