Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-07-11 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 64.76%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.99%64.71%64.69%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5271.43%67.98%67.80%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 35.24%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.474%
Kelly -0.738%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.29%35.31%37.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.572.722.712.8038.91%36.80%36.83%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 64.76%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 35.24%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.33%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.39%E -0.861%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 01:58
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 01:34
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.43%E -3.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.43%E -3.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:37
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:59
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.44%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 01:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:24
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 22:32
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 02:09
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -5.56%E -2.07%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 02:09
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.51%E -2.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:49
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 02:09
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 02:04
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.15%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.50%E -1.66%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.56%E -2.07%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 01:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:09
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:04
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.27%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.85%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.10%E -4.21%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.61%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.67%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.75%E -4.68%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 01:43
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:32
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.34%E -6.67%K -23.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.474%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-07-11 01:50
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-10 21:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-10 20:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-07-11 02:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-07-11 02:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-07-11 02:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-07-11 02:10
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-07-11 02:09