Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 66.93%1.49fair odd
EV -0.951%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.89%66.97%68.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.431.4872.99%70.04%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 33.07%3.02fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.388%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.35%33.11%33.03%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.72%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 66.93%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 33.07%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.776%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -0.951%E -0.642%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 19:09
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -2.29%E -1.57%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -1.77%E -0.595%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 19:59
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 19:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 19:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 20:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:54
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 20:09
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:55
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 20:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 20:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 03:34
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:59
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 11:39
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 20:09
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 18:13
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:54
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:50
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 11:39
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:35
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 19:24
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 20:10
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:10
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:04
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 20:09
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:34
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 11:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.97%E -5.02%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.31%E -6.07%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-12 20:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-12 20:10
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 16:55
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 20:10
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 20:10
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-07-12 19:59
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-07-12 20:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-07-12 20:10