The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-12 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 65.02%1.54fair odd
EV -0.518%
Edge -0.339%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.05%65.01%67.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5371%69%68%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 34.98%2.86fair odd
EV +0.740%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.95%34.99%36.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8838%36%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +0.740%E +0.257%K +0.394%G +0.003%4.2%2026-07-11 23:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.740%E +0.257%K +0.394%G +0.003%6.2%2026-07-11 23:04
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.309%E -0.108%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.309%E -0.108%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 00:44
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.309%E -0.108%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 00:44
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.309%E -0.108%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 00:44
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -1.36%E -0.482%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 23:04
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 02:25
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 02:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:39
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.06%E -0.735%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:44
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -2.76%E -0.992%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 02:25
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 02:25
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 02:25
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 02:23
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 02:25
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 23:14
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 02:25
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.42%E -3.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 02:25
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.42%E -3.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 23:29
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:54
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:54
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:54
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:54
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 02:24
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 00:44
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -0.518%E -0.339%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -4.51%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 00:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:19
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.42%E -3.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:19
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.42%E -3.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:59
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 02:24
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 02:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 02:24
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.91%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 23:23
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.30%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:25
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.30%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:19
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.30%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:18
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.30%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.30%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 01:44
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.47%E -1.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.77%E -2.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 23:24
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 02:24
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-07-12 02:09
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 18:34
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-07-12 02:25
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-11 23:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-07-12 02:25
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%11.8%2026-07-12 02:19