La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-07-12 20:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 66.93%1.49momio equitativo
EV -0.951%
Ventaja -0.642%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.48%66.89%66.97%68.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.431.4872.99%70.04%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 33.07%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.776%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.388%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.35%33.11%33.03%34.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.72%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -0.951%E -0.642%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 19:09
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -2.29%E -1.57%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -1.77%E -0.595%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 19:59
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 19:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 19:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 20:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:54
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 20:09
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:55
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 20:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 20:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 03:34
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:59
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 11:39
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.824%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 20:09
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 18:13
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:54
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:50
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 11:39
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:35
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 19:24
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.30%E -3.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 20:10
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -2.76%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:10
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:09
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:04
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 20:09
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:34
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:49
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 11:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.97%E -5.02%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.31%E -6.07%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -0.776%E -0.259%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-12 20:10
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-12 20:10
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 16:55
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 20:10
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 20:10
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-07-12 19:59
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-07-12 20:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-07-12 20:10