Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 01:39 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV -0.158%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.111%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.22%41.33%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.4244.44%43.14%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%58.78%58.67%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.47%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 41.26%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 58.74%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.424. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.420, with an expected value of -0.158%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-05 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 01:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:14
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:34
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.81%E -0.760%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 01:14
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.81%E -0.760%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 00:30
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.22%E -0.937%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 01:19
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.31%E -0.781%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 23:40
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:24
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 22:24
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 05:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:34
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:34
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:34
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 01:24
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%-0.0%2026-04-05 01:24
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-05 01:34
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:20
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-04 14:34
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-05 01:33
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-05 01:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-05 01:14