Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-04-05 01:39 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 41.26%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.158%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.22%41.33%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.322.302.4244.44%43.14%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 58.74%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%58.78%58.67%60.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.47%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 41.26%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 58.74%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.424. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.420, con un valor esperado de -0.158%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-05 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 01:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:14
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.983%E -0.409%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:34
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.81%E -0.760%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 01:14
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.81%E -0.760%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 00:30
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.22%E -0.937%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 01:19
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.31%E -0.781%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 23:40
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.87%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:24
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 22:24
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 05:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:34
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:34
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.93%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:34
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 01:24
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%-0.0%2026-04-05 01:24
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-05 01:34
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-05 01:20
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-04 14:34
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-05 01:33
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-05 01:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-05 01:14