Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 6–4 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 50.05%2.00fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.974%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.18%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.901.9656.50%52.99%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.82%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.912.0055.56%51.84%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.05%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 49.95%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.093%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.974%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 00:35
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.91%E -0.974%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.41%E -1.24%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 15:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.41%E -1.24%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.09%E -0.551%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:50
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:55
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-15 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 01:35
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:10
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 01:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:30
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 01:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:30
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 01:35
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 01:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:45
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.093%E -0.046%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:45
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.59%E -0.808%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.42%E -5.20%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -9.42%E -5.20%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.08%E -5.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 01:35
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -11.42%E -6.45%K -14.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 00:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-15 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-15 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-15 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-15 01:35
ProphetX◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-09-15 01:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-15 00:50
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-15 01:35
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-09-15 01:25
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-09-15 01:25