Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

2026-09-15 01:39 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 48.72%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.61%48.81%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.962.0054.05%50.95%50.89%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 51.28%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.008%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%51.39%51.19%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.851.851.9556.82%54.02%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 48.72%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 51.28%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.9502. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.9500, con un valor esperado de -0.008%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.55%E -0.806%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 21:25
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 21:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 02:30
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 01:40
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 21:05
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 21:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 01:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 01:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:45
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 00:45
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -9.75%E -5.54%K -12.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 02:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 01:35
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.21%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-09-14 02:25
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-13 22:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-13 21:35
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-09-14 01:35
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-09-14 01:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-09-14 02:35