Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–6 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%41.01%41.03%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4645.45%42.61%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 58.92%1.70fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.99%58.97%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6865.36%62.11%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 41.08%; New York Yankees (Visit): 58.92%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%EV +1.06%E +0.432%K +0.728%G +0.008%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-03 01:19
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 17:50
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 01:14
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.68%E -5.60%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 00:15
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 01:25
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 01:34
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.02%E -0.606%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 01:25
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:29
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.02%E -0.606%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:15
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:15
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 01:29
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:19
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.86%E -6.44%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 01:25
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:25
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 01:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:29
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 01:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.15%E -3.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.98%E -3.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-03 01:35
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-09-03 01:25
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-09-03 01:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 12:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-03 01:35
BetOpenly2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-03 01:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-03 01:35