Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-09-03 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–6 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Previsão 41.08%2.43odd justa
EV +1.06%
Vantagem +0.432%
Kelly +0.728%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%41.01%41.03%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.4645.45%42.61%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 58.92%1.70odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.606%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%58.99%58.97%61.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.621.6865.36%62.11%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 41.08%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 58.92%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%EV +1.06%E +0.432%K +0.728%G +0.008%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-03 01:19
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 17:50
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.652%E +0.266%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.169%E -0.070%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 01:14
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.68%E -5.60%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 00:15
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 01:25
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 01:34
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.02%E -0.606%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 01:25
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:29
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.02%E -0.606%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:15
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:15
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 01:29
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:19
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.86%E -6.44%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 01:25
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:25
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 01:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:29
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 01:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.15%E -3.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.98%E -3.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 01:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-03 01:35
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-09-03 01:25
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-09-03 01:30
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 12:55
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-03 01:35
BetOpenly◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-09-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-03 01:35
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-03 01:35