Language:English
Los Angeles Angels v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Angels (Local)
Prediction 46.99%2.13fair odd
EV -0.841%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.757%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.13%46.75%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.042.1152.63%49.38%49.14%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 53.01%1.89fair odd
EV -0.881%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.87%53.25%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8757.47%55.29%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 46.99%; New York Mets (Visit): 53.01%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -0.841%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.841%E -0.398%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 01:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 08:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.60%E -2.27%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 01:32 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 02:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.89%E -4.03%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.71%E -5.64%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 01:35 |