La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-05-03 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 4–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 46.99%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.841%
Ventaja -0.398%
Kelly -0.757%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.91%47.13%46.75%49.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.042.1152.63%49.38%49.14%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 53.01%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.881%
Ventaja -0.471%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.67%52.87%53.25%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.801.8757.47%55.29%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.841%E -0.398%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 16:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 00:55
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.25%E -1.08%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:40
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 01:34
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:40
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:00
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 08:10
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 08:10
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 08:10
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 08:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 22:35
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 01:35
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 01:35
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.881%E -0.471%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 01:35
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:50
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.60%E -2.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:34
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 01:32
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:34
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:35
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 01:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 02:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 01:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 01:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 01:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 22:55
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:55
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.89%E -4.03%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 01:35
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.71%E -5.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 01:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-03 01:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-03 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-03 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-03 01:25
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-02 23:01
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-03 01:35
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-05-03 01:35
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-03 01:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-05-03 01:35