Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 20:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–4 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -0.026%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.85%43.83%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.172.2848.08%45.86%46.08%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 56.15%1.78fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.15%56.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.77%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 43.85%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 56.15%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.281. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.280, with an expected value of -0.026%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 20:04
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 19:28
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.903%E -0.400%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-26 14:03
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -0.903%E -0.400%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 13:13
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 12:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 20:04
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 20:04
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.03%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.78%E -0.795%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.73%E -0.991%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 17:49
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.78%E -0.795%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.22%E -0.995%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 15:34
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.73%E -0.991%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-26 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.10%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 15:33
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.10%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:08
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 14:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 13:09
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 12:34
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 07:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 20:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 04:19
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 11:14
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 02:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 19:24
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 19:24
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 19:09
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 14:08
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:39
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 02:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 20:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 20:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:53
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 14:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 19:37
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.35%E -4.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%-0.1%2026-08-26 19:59
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-26 19:49
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-26 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-26 19:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-26 20:05
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-08-26 19:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-26 19:55