Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-26 20:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–4 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Previsão 43.85%2.28odd justa
EV -0.026%
Vantagem -0.011%
Kelly -0.020%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.86%43.85%43.83%44.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.182.172.2848.08%45.86%46.08%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 56.15%1.78odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.991%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.12%56.15%56.17%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.77%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 43.85%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 56.15%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.281. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.280, com valor esperado de -0.026%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 20:04
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 19:28
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.903%E -0.400%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-26 14:03
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -0.903%E -0.400%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 13:13
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 12:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 20:04
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 20:04
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.34%E -0.596%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.03%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.78%E -0.795%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.73%E -0.991%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 17:49
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.78%E -0.795%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.22%E -0.995%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 15:34
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.73%E -0.991%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-26 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.10%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 15:33
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.10%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:08
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 14:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 13:09
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 12:34
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 07:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 20:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 11:14
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 04:19
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 11:14
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 20:04
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 02:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 19:24
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.10%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 19:24
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 19:09
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 14:08
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:39
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 02:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 20:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 20:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:53
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 14:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 19:37
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.35%E -4.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%-0.1%2026-08-26 19:59
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-26 19:49
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-26 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-26 19:25
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-26 08:19
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-26 20:05
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-08-26 19:55
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-26 19:55