Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 0–6 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 58.12%1.72fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.13%58.22%59.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.631.7062.50%60.94%61.16%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 41.88%2.39fair odd
EV +0.508%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%41.87%41.78%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.48%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 58.12%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 41.88%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.508%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.508%E +0.212%K +0.363%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.330%E -0.139%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.330%E -0.139%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:20
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 13:29
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:19
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 01:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 22:09
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.702%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.19%E -0.702%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 01:25
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-05 01:34
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 01:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 18:09
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 06:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:28
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:34
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:30
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 16:57
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 01:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 23:54
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.03%E -3.17%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:35
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 01:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-05 01:35
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-04 03:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-05 01:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-05-05 01:24