La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-05 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 0–6 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 58.12%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%58.13%58.22%59.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.631.7062.50%60.94%61.16%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 41.88%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.508%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.363%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.35%41.87%41.78%43.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.48%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.508%E +0.212%K +0.363%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.330%E -0.139%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.330%E -0.139%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 13:29
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:20
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.42%E -3.99%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:19
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.59%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:19
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 01:30
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:39
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.42%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 22:09
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.19%E -0.702%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 01:30
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 01:30
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.19%E -0.702%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 01:25
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-05 01:34
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 23:24
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 01:35
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 17:14
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 18:09
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 08:25
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 22:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 06:05
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.84%E -3.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 00:24
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.10%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:28
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.68%E -2.85%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:34
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.26%E -3.23%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.77%E -1.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 00:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 17:00
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 16:57
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 01:30
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 17:00
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 22:10
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.19%E -2.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 23:54
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 01:35
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.52%E -2.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.03%E -3.17%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:35
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.94%E -1.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 01:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.10%E -2.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.87%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 01:27
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 01:35
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-05 01:35
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-04 03:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-05 01:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-05-05 01:24