The School of Odds

Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 01:31 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 5–7 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 40.90%2.44fair odd
EV +0.205%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.90%40.86%42.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545%43%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 59.10%1.69fair odd
EV -0.121%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.10%59.14%61.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6965%62%62%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:05
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:05
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 01:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 23:00
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.613%E -0.252%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 01:20
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.613%E -0.252%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 00:59
MyBookie.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.43%E -0.594%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 01:29
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 01:29
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-06 01:25
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 21:40
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 01:15
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 01:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:00
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.25%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.08%E -1.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 01:29
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.25%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 00:50
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 01:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 07:45
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 01:24
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 01:00
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.121%E -0.072%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:29
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:29
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 00:55
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 00:55
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:29
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:29
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 01:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 21:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 03:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 01:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 00:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.08%E -1.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 01:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 01:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-06 00:15
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-07-06 01:30
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-06 01:10
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-07-06 01:30