La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-06 01:31 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 5–7 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 40.90%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.205%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.141%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.90%40.86%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.57%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 59.10%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.121%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.10%59.14%61.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6964.52%62.09%62.11%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:05
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 00:05
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 01:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.205%E +0.084%K +0.141%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 23:00
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.613%E -0.252%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 01:20
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.613%E -0.252%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 00:59
MyBookie.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.43%E -0.594%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 01:29
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 01:29
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-06 01:25
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 21:40
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 01:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 01:15
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 01:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:00
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.25%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.08%E -1.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-06 01:29
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.25%E -0.941%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 00:50
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 01:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 07:45
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:55
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 01:24
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 01:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 01:00
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.121%E -0.072%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:29
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:29
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 00:55
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.70%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 00:55
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:29
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:29
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 01:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 21:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 03:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 01:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 00:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 00:30
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.57%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.08%E -1.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 01:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 01:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-07-06 01:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-06 00:15
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-07-06 01:30
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-07-06 01:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-06 01:10
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.7%2026-07-06 01:30