Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-06 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%47.83%47.78%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.992.002.0552.08%50.22%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 52.18%1.92fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.17%52.22%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.93%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.82%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 52.18%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.88, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.97%E -0.961%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 01:25
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.97%E -0.961%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.42%E -1.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:03
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:44
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:25
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.60%E -3.69%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.60%E -3.69%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:00
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:03
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.71%E -3.99%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.71%E -3.99%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.19%E -4.26%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-09-06 01:25
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-06 00:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-06 00:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-09-06 00:00
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-09-06 00:05