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Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-06 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 47.84%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.12%47.85%47.78%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.921.992.002.0552.08%50.21%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 52.16%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.15%52.22%52.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.93%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.84%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 52.16%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.09. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.05, con un valor esperado de -1.92%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.92%E -0.937%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 01:25
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.937%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:03
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 02:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:44
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:54
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 01:40
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:03
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.14%E -4.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-06 01:50
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-06 00:05
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-09-06 01:50
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-09-06 00:00
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-09-06 00:05