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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-09-06 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 6–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 47.29%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.68%47.31%47.30%48.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.012.002.0951.81%49.74%50.00%47.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 52.71%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.95%52.69%52.70%53.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.821.8757.14%55.09%54.95%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.29%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 52.71%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.09, con un valor esperado de -1.17%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.17%E -0.559%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 17:19
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.64%E -0.789%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.64%E -0.789%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:15
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.43%E -0.764%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 17:44
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.43%E -0.764%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 16:55
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:35
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:33
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:05
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.65%E -3.15%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.65%E -3.15%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.48%E -1.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 04:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 18:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 03:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.70%E -3.79%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.90%E -2.96%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.65%E -3.15%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -5.90%E -2.96%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:10
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.84%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.84%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.84%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.12%E -2.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.73%E -4.53%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-09-06 17:35
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-09-06 15:20
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-06 06:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-06 18:10
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-09-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-09-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-09-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-09-06 18:05
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%6.3%2026-09-06 18:05