Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-05 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 49.71%2.01odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.79%49.71%49.68%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.911.9954.64%52.53%52.36%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 50.29%1.99odd justa
EV -0.936%
Vantagem -0.475%
Kelly -0.965%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%50.29%50.32%51.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.891.901.9756.18%52.97%52.63%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.71%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 50.29%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -0.936%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.07%E -0.537%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.936%E -0.475%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 22:55
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.96%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.98%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.49%E -5.89%K -13.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-09-05 23:10
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%4.7%2026-09-05 23:10