Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 49.71%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.79%49.71%49.68%51.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.911.9954.64%52.53%52.36%50.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.29%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.936%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.29%50.32%51.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.901.9756.18%52.97%52.63%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 49.71% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 50.29%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.99. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.97, pour une espérance de -0.936% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.07%E -0.537%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.936%E -0.475%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 22:55
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.96%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.98%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.49%E -5.89%K -13.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-09-05 23:10
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%4.7%2026-09-05 23:10