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Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 49.71%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.79%49.71%49.68%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.911.9954.64%52.53%52.36%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 50.29%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.936%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%50.29%50.32%51.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.891.901.9756.18%52.97%52.63%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 49.71%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 50.29%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.97, con un valor esperado de -0.936%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.07%E -0.537%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.791%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.936%E -0.475%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.96%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.48%E -4.66%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -6.04%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.98%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.94%E -0.996%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.49%E -5.89%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75% | 0.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |