The School of Odds

Kansas City Royals v San Francisco Giants

2026-07-22 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.64%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.911.9854%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 50.20%1.99fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.36%50.00%51.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.901.9655%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.40%E -0.705%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.63%E -3.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 18:00
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.89%E -0.961%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:00
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.821%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 18:25
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 18:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 18:05
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 19:19
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.38%E -2.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 17:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:15
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.12%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:50
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.88%E -2.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.13%E -3.85%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.99%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.13%E -3.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 19:18
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.37%E -3.96%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.64%E -4.75%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.64%E -4.75%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-21 18:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-07-21 22:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%10.2%2026-07-21 20:15