Kansas City Royals v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-07-22 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–4 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

45%

55%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo

EV +1.14%

Ventaja +0.501%

Kelly +0.895%

Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

42.60%44.57%44.65%47.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.062.142.142.2748.54%46.70%46.73%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo

EV +3.13%

Ventaja +1.68%

Kelly +3.64%

Crecimiento +0.114%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

52.67%55.43%55.35%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.671.731.721.8659.88%57.97%58.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -7.77%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +3.13%E +1.68%K +3.64%G +0.114%	2.1%	2026-07-22 15:20
BetUS	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.751%E -0.420%K -0.951%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-22 17:25
Everygame	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.98%E -0.901%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-22 17:59
BetRivers	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Svenska Spel	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
MyBookie.ag	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.99%E -2.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-22 18:04
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-22 15:19
Pinnacle	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.09%E -0.491%K -0.894%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betsson	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.77%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-22 16:34
TAB	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-22 17:59
Unibet (NL)	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 18:10
LeoVegas	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
Dabble (AU)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-22 17:54
BetAnything	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.54%E -0.695%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-07-22 18:09
PointsBet (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
ReBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-22 18:04
Unibet (SE)	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-22 17:09
Casumo	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-22 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-22 18:09
ATG (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-22 18:10
GTbets	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.14%E +0.501%K +0.895%G +0.010%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-22 18:09
LowVig.ag	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.200%E -0.089%K -0.161%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.200%E -0.089%K -0.161%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
betPARX	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-22 17:39
Bally Bet	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-22 17:39
Coolbet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-22 17:44
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-22 16:09
FanDuel	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Bovada	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-22 18:09
Bet Right	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-22 18:09
PlayUp	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
NordicBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
TABtouch	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 17:39
LiveScore Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 17:39
Virgin Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 17:39
Marathon Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-22 18:08
Caesars	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Fanatics	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
888sport	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
888sport (SE)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Hard Rock Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-22 18:09
Grosvenor	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.22%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
DraftKings	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Bet Victor	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:04
betano_uk	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:03
Winamax (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
Tipico (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 15:20
BetMGM	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Fliff	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.12%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-22 18:10
Neds	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.98%E -0.901%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-22 18:09
Coral	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.246%E +0.109%K +0.197%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.246%E +0.109%K +0.197%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 18:09
Paddy Power	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-22 18:09
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betclic (FR)	2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.77%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-22 18:09

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	0.5%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-07-22 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-07-22 18:09
ProphetX	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%	0.8%	2026-07-22 18:10
Polymarket	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	0.9%	2026-07-22 16:39
Novig	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	0.9%	2026-07-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	0.9%	2026-07-22 18:10
BetOpenly	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%	1.6%	2026-07-22 18:09
Smarkets	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%	2.1%	2026-07-22 17:44