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Kansas City Royals v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 46.18%2.17fair odd
EV -0.722%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.628%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.05%46.14%47.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.1552.08%47.82%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 53.82%1.86fair odd
EV -0.964%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.59%53.95%53.86%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8458.82%56.83%56.98%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.18%; New York Yankees (Visit): 53.82%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.722%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.11%E -0.994%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.11%E -0.994%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.964%E -0.524%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 18:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.49%E -1.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.49%E -1.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.42%E -2.13%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.42%E -2.13%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.26%E -3.09%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.65%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-05-25 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |