Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-25 19:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 3–4 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 46.18%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.722%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.628%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.05%46.14%47.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.092.102.1552.08%47.82%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 53.82%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.964%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.59%53.95%53.86%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8458.82%56.83%56.98%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.18%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 53.82%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.17. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.15, con un valor esperado de -0.722%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:49
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 18:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.722%E -0.336%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.18%E -0.553%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.11%E -0.994%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.11%E -0.994%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:40
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.964%E -0.524%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-25 19:20
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 19:30
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 19:39
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 19:39
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 18:28
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 13:49
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:29
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 12:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.49%E -1.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.49%E -1.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.95%E -1.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 19:40
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.42%E -2.13%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.42%E -2.13%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 19:40
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 19:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 19:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 19:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.27%E -2.99%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.26%E -3.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.50%E -0.821%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 19:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.65%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-25 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-25 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-25 19:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-25 17:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-25 19:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-05-25 19:30
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-05-25 19:40
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.4%2026-05-25 19:30
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%2.5%2026-05-25 19:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%4.6%2026-05-25 19:40