Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-04-02 18:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 58.34%1.71odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.833%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.56%58.38%58.23%59.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.641.651.6962.50%60.83%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 41.66%2.40odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.533%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.95%41.62%41.77%43.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.292.302.3745.45%43.74%43.48%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 58.34%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 41.66%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.37, com valor esperado de -1.26%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.41%E -0.833%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 17:59
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.10%E -0.892%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-02 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.51%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 18:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.26%E -0.533%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:44
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.51%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 16:45
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:13
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:18
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:20
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 18:03
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 03:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.60%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 14:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 14:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.10%E -0.892%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 17:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 22:29
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 19:55
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 12:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:53
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-02 18:05
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-02 18:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-02 17:50
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 18:05
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 18:05