Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-04-02 18:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 58.34%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.56%58.38%58.23%59.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.651.6962.50%60.83%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 41.66%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.922%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.95%41.62%41.77%43.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.3745.45%43.74%43.48%42.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 58.34%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 41.66%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.40. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.37, con un valor esperado de -1.26%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.41%E -0.833%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.34%E -3.79%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 17:59
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.10%E -0.892%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-02 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.51%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 18:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.26%E -0.533%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.68%E -0.712%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 17:44
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.51%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.16%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 16:45
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:13
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:18
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 14:20
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 18:03
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 03:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.60%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 14:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 14:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.10%E -0.892%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.01%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 17:20
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.91%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.39%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 22:29
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 19:55
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 12:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:53
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.26%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-02 18:05
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-02 18:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-02 17:50
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 18:05
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 18:05