Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-04 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 42.67%2.34fair odd
EV +0.280%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.57%42.66%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.242.252.3546.73%44.58%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 57.33%1.74fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.43%57.34%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.80%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 42.67%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 57.33%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.35, producing a positive expected value of +0.280%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.280%E +0.119%K +0.208%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.000%E -0.431%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 22:25
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-04 23:04
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 15:50
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:00
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 22:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.85%E -0.806%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.28%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:59
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.28%E -0.996%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.13%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.13%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.13%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 20:40
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.13%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:04
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -1.97%E -1.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 22:25
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 23:10
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 19:15
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 05:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:04
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 16:14
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 13:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 13:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:05
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:33
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:59
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.41%E -1.97%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:39
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:40
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:39
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:39
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:40
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:49
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.84%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:00
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 15:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 13:50
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:50
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:15
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.68%E -4.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-08-04 21:40
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-04 22:30
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-04 23:00
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-04 21:15