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Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 42.59%2.35fair odd
EV +0.092%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.52%42.62%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.242.232.3547.17%44.67%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.48%57.38%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.87%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 42.59%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 57.41%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.348. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.092%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -0.760%E -0.326%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.698%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.83%E -1.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.83%E -1.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.32%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -6.43%E -3.94%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |