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Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 42.59%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.092%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.52%42.62%43.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.242.232.3547.17%44.67%44.84%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 57.41%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%57.48%57.38%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.87%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 42.59%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 57.41%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.348. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.350, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.092%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -0.760%E -0.326%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| BetUS | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.61%E -0.698%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.83%E -1.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.83%E -1.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.32%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Bovada | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 05:25 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:49 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.44%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 13:50 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -6.43%E -3.94%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetOpenly | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |