Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 48.21%2.07fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.35%48.10%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.982.002.0754.05%50.48%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 51.79%1.93fair odd
EV +0.987%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%51.65%51.90%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.841.9556.50%54.14%54.35%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 48.21%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 51.79%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.987%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.81%E -5.84%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.987%E +0.506%K +1.04%G +0.010%5.3%2026-04-03 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.049%E -0.025%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 12:40
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.567%E -0.295%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 22:40
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.08%E -0.568%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 22:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.08%E -0.568%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 03:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.60%E -0.843%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 21:34
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 05:50
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.47%E -3.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 22:35
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.202%E -0.097%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 21:24
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:45
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.09%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:34
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 21:45
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:34
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:19
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:35
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:33
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 21:30
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 22:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:34
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.17%E -0.569%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-04-03 22:29
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-04-03 22:31
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-04-03 22:29
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-04-03 22:34
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-03 21:00