La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-04-03 23:46 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 48.21%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.202%
Ventaja -0.097%
Kelly -0.188%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.35%48.10%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.982.002.0754.05%50.48%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 51.79%1.93momio equitativo
EV +0.987%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%51.65%51.90%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.851.841.9556.50%54.14%54.35%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.81%E -5.84%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.987%E +0.506%K +1.04%G +0.010%5.3%2026-04-03 22:40
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.049%E -0.025%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 12:40
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.567%E -0.295%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 22:40
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.08%E -0.568%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 22:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.08%E -0.568%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 03:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.60%E -0.843%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 21:34
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 21:55
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 22:35
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 22:35
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 22:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 05:50
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 21:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.47%E -3.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 22:35
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.202%E -0.097%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 21:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.684%E -0.332%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 21:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:19
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:55
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.09%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:34
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:30
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 21:45
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:19
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 21:35
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:33
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.92%E -4.14%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 21:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 22:33
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:34
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.17%E -0.569%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-04-03 22:29
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-04-03 22:40
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-04-03 22:31
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-04-03 22:29
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-04-03 22:34
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-03 21:00