默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-09-03 23:40 UTC

最终结果: Kansas City Royals 7–3 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals (主队)

预测 52.98%1.89公平赔率
EV +1.20%
优势 +0.626%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.73%53.02%53.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.831.821.9157.14%54.73%54.95%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 47.02%2.13公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.601%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
46.05%47.27%46.98%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.832.002.022.1054.64%49.97%49.50%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kansas City Royals (主队):52.98%;Miami Marlins (客队):47.02%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.89。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.91,对应+1.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -10.20%E -5.34%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:25
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 23:05
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:25
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.90%E -3.49%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:35
Everygame🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-03 23:14
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:40
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.96%E -7.63%K -16.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:49
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:49
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:34
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.75%E -3.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 23:12
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-09-03 23:30
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%0.5%2026-09-03 23:35
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-09-03 23:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-03 21:20
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-03 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-09-03 23:35
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%5.0%2026-09-03 23:34