StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 23:40 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Royals 7–3 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 52.98%1.89faire Quote
EV +1.20%
Vorteil +0.626%
Kelly +1.31%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%52.73%53.02%53.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.751.831.821.9157.14%54.73%54.95%52.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.02%2.13faire Quote
EV -1.26%
Vorteil -0.601%
Kelly -1.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.05%47.27%46.98%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.832.002.022.1054.64%49.97%49.50%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 52.98%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 47.02%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.89. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.91 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -10.20%E -5.34%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:25
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 23:05
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:25
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.90%E -3.49%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:35
Everygame🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-03 23:14
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:40
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.96%E -7.63%K -16.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:34
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:49
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:49
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:34
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.75%E -3.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 23:12
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 23:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-09-03 23:30
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%0.5%2026-09-03 23:35
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-09-03 23:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-03 21:20
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-03 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-09-03 23:30
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-09-03 23:35
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%5.0%2026-09-03 23:34