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Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 52.98%1.89momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.626%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.73%53.02%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.821.9157.14%54.73%54.95%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 47.02%2.13momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.27%46.98%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.002.022.1054.64%49.97%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 52.98%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 47.02%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.89. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +1.20%E +0.626%K +1.31%G +0.016% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -9.26%E -4.80%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +0.136%E +0.072%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -9.73%E -5.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -10.20%E -5.34%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.394%E -0.210%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -11.14%E -5.89%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.90%E -3.49%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.98%E -1.07%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.67%E -5.61%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.73%E -0.829%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.26%E -0.601%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.67%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.96%E -7.63%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.10%E -2.27%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.75%E -3.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 23:12 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 23:34 |