Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 00:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 8–10 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV +0.526%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.46%50.53%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.881.9956.82%53.19%53.19%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 49.48%2.02fair odd
EV -0.042%
Edge -0.021%
Kelly -0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.60%49.54%49.47%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0255.56%52.50%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.52%; Houston Astros (Visit): 49.48%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.526%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV +0.526%E +0.264%K +0.532%G +0.003%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 12:49
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.53%E -0.767%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.53%E -0.767%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.042%E -0.021%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:59
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 00:09
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:59
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:57
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.04%E -3.25%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:08
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:02
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 00:10
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.09%E -6.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-06-13 00:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%3.4%2026-06-13 00:10
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%3.4%2026-06-12 23:59
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%5.0%2026-06-13 00:10