L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 00:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 8–10 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 50.52%1.98cote équitable
EV +0.526%
Avantage +0.264%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%50.46%50.53%51.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.881.881.9956.82%53.19%53.19%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.48%2.02cote équitable
EV -0.042%
Avantage -0.021%
Kelly -0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.60%49.54%49.47%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.912.0255.56%52.50%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV +0.526%E +0.264%K +0.532%G +0.003%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 12:49
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.53%E -0.767%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:00
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.53%E -0.767%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 00:00
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.042%E -0.021%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 00:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:59
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.03%E -0.516%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 00:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:59
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 00:09
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 00:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:10
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 00:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:09
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 00:10
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:09
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:57
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:00
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:59
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 00:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:10
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.04%E -3.25%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 00:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:08
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:08
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 00:02
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 00:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 00:10
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -11.09%E -6.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-13 00:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-06-13 00:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%3.4%2026-06-13 00:10
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%3.4%2026-06-12 23:59
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%5.0%2026-06-13 00:10