Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.86%56.85%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.93%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV +0.556%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%43.14%43.15%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.242.3347.62%44.72%44.64%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 56.84%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 43.16%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.556%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.556%E +0.239%K +0.418%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +0.556%E +0.239%K +0.418%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 16:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.17%E -0.511%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.17%E -0.511%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.23%E -1.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.03%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 06:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 05:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 21:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 04:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 05:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 05:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 05:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 10:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 05:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 06:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 11:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 05:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 20:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |